Both sides previous revision
Previous revision
Next revision
|
Previous revision
|
mike:models [2019/04/17 11:37] Mike Wills [NAM 3km] |
— (current) |
====== Models ====== | |
| |
* [[https://www.windy.com/?rain,44.252,-94.013,6,p:off|Windy: Wind map & weather forecast]] | |
* [[https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/|Tropical Tidbits]] GFS National - Free access to most forecast models. | |
* [[http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php|pivotal weather]] GFS National | |
* [[http://models.weatherbell.com/|WeatherBell]] Some models are free | |
* [[http://weather.graphics/nbm/city.php|Temp Graphs from WX Bell]] | |
* [[https://www.weathernerds.org/|Weather Nerds]] | |
| |
===== GFS ===== | |
| |
This older model is not as accurate. GFS is run four times a day and produces forecasts for up to 16 days in advance, but with decreased spatial resolution after 10 days. | |
| |
* [[https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=ncus&pkg=ref_frzn|TT: 6-hour Averaged Precip Rate, MSLP, & 1000-500mb Thickness]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?dpdt=&mc=&r=us_nc&p=sn10_acc&m=gfs|PW: Total Accumulated Snowfall 10:1]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=qpf_acc&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Total Accumulated QPF]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfctapp&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Wind Chill/Heat Index]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfctd_b&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Dew Point, Wind Barbs]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=mucape&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Most Unstable CAPE]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sbcape&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Surface-Based CAPE]] | |
| |
===== GFS-FV3 ===== | |
Newer, more accurate GFS model. Still being developed. | |
| |
* [[https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=fv3p®ion=ncus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn|TT: 6-hour Averaged Precip Rate, MSLP, & 1000-500mb Thickness]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?dpdt=&mc=&r=us_nc&p=sn10_acc&m=gfs_fv3|PW: Total Accumulated Snowfall 10:1]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs_fv3&p=qpf_acc&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Total Accumulated QPF]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs_fv3&p=sfctapp&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Wind Chill/Heat Index]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs_fv3&p=sfctd_b&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Dew Point, Wind Barbs]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs_fv3&p=mucape&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Most Unstable CAPE]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs_fv3&p=sbcape&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Surface-Based CAPE]] | |
| |
===== NAM ===== | |
Short-term weather forecasting. The model is run four times a day (00, 06, 12, 18 UTC) out to 84 hours. | |
| |
* [[https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=wrf-nmm®ion=ncus&pkg=ref_frzn|TT: Near-Surface Reflectivity (dDZ), MSLP (mb; 0.5-degree smoothed)]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=sn10_acc&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Total Accumulated Snowfall 10:1]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=qpf_acc&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Total Accumulated QPF]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=sfctapp&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Wind Chill/Heat Index]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=sfctd_b&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Dew Point, Wind Barbs]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=mucape&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Most Unstable CAPE]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=sbcape&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Surface-Based CAPE]] | |
| |
===== NAM 3km ===== | |
* [[https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=fv3p®ion=ncus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn|TT: Instantaneous Precip Rate (mm/hr), MSLP (hPa), & 1000-500mb Thickness (dam)]] | |
* [[https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam3km®ion=ncus&pkg=ref_uv10m|TT: Near-Surface Reflectivity (dBZ) & 10m Wind (kt)]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam4km&p=sn10_acc&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Total Accumulated Snowfall 10:1]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam4km&p=qpf_acc&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Total Accumulated QPF]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam4km&p=sfctapp&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Wind Chill/Heat Index]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam4km&p=sfctd_b&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Dew Point, Wind Barbs]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam4km&p=mucape&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Most Unstable CAPE]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam4km&p=sbcape&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Surface-Based CAPE]] | |
| |
===== HRRR ===== | |
The HRRR is a NOAA real-time 3-km resolution, hourly updated, cloud-resolving, convection-allowing atmospheric model, initialized by 3km grids with 3km radar assimilation. Radar data is assimilated in the HRRR every 15 min over a 1-h period adding further detail to that provided by the hourly data assimilation from the 13km radar-enhanced Rapid Refresh . | |
| |
* [[https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam3km®ion=ncus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn|TT: 1km AGL Reflectivity (dBZ) and MSPL]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=sn10_acc&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Total Accumulated Snowfall 10:1]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=qpf_acc&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Total Accumulated QPF]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=sfctapp&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Wind Chill/Heat Index]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=sfctd_b&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Dew Point, Wind Barbs]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=mucape&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Most Unstable CAPE]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=sbcape&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Surface-Based CAPE]] | |
| |
===== RAP ===== | |
The Rapid Refresh is the continental-scale NOAA hourly-updated assimilation/modeling system operational at NCEP. RAP covers North America and is comprised primarily of a numerical forecast model and an analysis/assimilation system to initialize that model. RAP is complemented by the higher-resolution 3km High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model, which is also updated hourly and covering a smaller geographic domain. | |
| |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rap&p=sn10_acc&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Total Accumulated Snowfall 10:1]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rap&p=qpf_acc&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Total Accumulated QPF]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rap&p=sfctapp&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Wind Chill/Heat Index]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rap&p=sfctd_b&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Dew Point, Wind Barbs]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rap&p=mucape&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Most Unstable CAPE]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rap&p=sbcape&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|PW: Surface-Based CAPE]] | |
| |
===== GDPS (Canadian) ===== | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=sn10_acc&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|Total Accumulated Snowfall 10:1]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=qpf_acc&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|Total Accumulated QPF]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=sfctapp&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|Wind Chill/Heat Index]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=sfctd_b&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|Dew Point, Wind Barbs]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=mucape&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|Most Unstable CAPE]] | |
* [[https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=sbcape&r=us_nc&dpdt=&mc=|Surface-Based CAPE]] | |
| |